FORMLAB RACING
THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT
Beverley · 19:00
Class 6 · 5f · Good to Firm (Good in places)
GENERATED 2026-07-20 · 10 RUNNERS PROFILED
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.7%winner in the projected 1–2–3 64.8%176 races · latest settled day: #1 2/7, top-3 6/7forensic read: #1 29.1% · top-3 61.2% (103)full record →
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Measured on their own past openings, TOPTIME should reach the front first — roughly 1.7 lengths faster to the 2f marker than the next early type. Winners here typically raced recently (100% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (60% from the first three favourites); the typical winner also sits around 3rd at halfway before quickening late, having spent about 50% of its energy before the final two furlongs. On the measured reads, GREAT leads on 73, 1pts clear of LEVEL UP (IRE) and BEERWAH (IRE) (both 72) — among the two fastest on speed against its past fields. The case against the top pick: habitually slow from the stalls. The shape danger is BIBENDUM — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it. The market sees it differently, making DREAM DEAL the 26% favourite — a horse our figures rate 7th.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 5
GREAT
OR 65 · Shane Gray / Sam England
MARKET 6 · the market rates it a 16% chance
73.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 2−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (73.0)Proven over the trip (8 tries, beats market expectation at 2.02)Jockey goes well at this track (1.4x market expectation)
2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 7
LEVEL UP (IRE)
OR 63 · P. J. McDonald / David Evans
MARKET drifting 9.2 → 12.5 · the market rates it a 8% chance
72.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (72.0)Proven over the trip (63 tries, beats market expectation at 1.43)Historically underestimated by the market
3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 9
BEERWAH (IRE)
OR 62 · Jack Callan / John & Sean Quinn
MARKET drifting 14.5 → 18.5 · the market rates it a 5% chance
72.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 6+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (72.0)Proven over the trip (19 tries, beats market expectation at 1.63)Historically underestimated by the market
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1GREATnet +8figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup − habitually slow away
2BEERWAH (IRE)net +7race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup, FormLab watch flag
3BIBENDUMnet +6drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, FormLab watch flag − 5lb+ above last winning mark
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK
GREAT carries habitually slow from the stalls. BEERWAH (IRE) is the one to beat it — an edge GREAT lacks: one of the two strongest finishers here.
Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
DREAM DEAL  FIGURE #7
drops in class and returns quickly — the two angles our testing shows genuinely tighten a profile.
DANDY DINMONT (IRE)  FIGURE #9
Nigel Tinkler's runners in Class 6-7 company win 9.1% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. drops in class and returns quickly — the two angles our testing shows genuinely tighten a profile.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
contested early pace likely (3 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
WHAT WINS THIS RACE
20 similar races at BEVERLEY, 4.5-5.5f, all-aged handicaps, Class 5-7, Jun-Aug, 2023-2026 (class band widened for sample)
Winners here typically raced recently (100% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (60% from the first three favourites). 25% won last time out, 35% were placed 2nd-3rd.
Age
45% 4yo
30% 6yo+
15% 5yo
Last ran
50% within 14d
50% 15-45d
Market
40% 4th+ in the market
40% favourite
10% 3rd favourite
LTO form
40% unplaced last time
35% placed last time
25% won last time
The shape of past winners here · context only, never picks the horse.
Where the pace is drawn · 10 runners · stalls 1–10
12345678910
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn LOW (early types average stall 3.7 of 10, field average 5.5).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: GREAT is 0/1 on softer ground · LEVEL UP (IRE) is 2/10 on softer ground · BEERWAH (IRE) is 1/3 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
GREAT HELD-UP 50.4% 98.3 held up without the late gear (6th of 10 on late speed), races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
DC COGENT HELD-UP 49.6% 100.6 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
HURT YOU NEVER (IRE) PROMINENT 52.1% 98.7 concedes ~1.7L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
LEVEL UP (IRE) MID 50.7% 97.8 held up without the late gear (7th of 10 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
DREAM DEAL HELD-UP 50.3% 100.0 one-paced late — 4th of 10 on late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
BEERWAH (IRE) HELD-UP 50.2% 100.8 the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
TOPTIME FRONT 51.2% 96.7 the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
BIBENDUM HELD-UP 49.0% 101.4 the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
DANDY DINMONT (IRE) HELD-UP 51.1% 97.1 held up without the late gear (9th of 10 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
OPAL STORM PROMINENT 51.0% 97.3 concedes ~1.7L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
TOPTIMEFRONTtypically ~2.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
HURT YOU NEVER (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
OPAL STORMPROMINENTtypically ~1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.18s off the field’s best
measured on their own past openings, TOPTIME should reach the front first — roughly 1.7 lengths faster to the 2f marker than the next early type · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1 GREAT HELD-UP FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 5 · OR 65 · Shane Gray / Sam England
MARKET 6 · the market rates it a 16% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 2−
73.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Top on the figures, 1pts clear of the next, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
73.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 82
Official mark (OR)
65 · last won off 62
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 8 tries · beats market expectation (2.02)
Days since last run
11
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 1.2s · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 98.33% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 6 · 5.8f · rated 737thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 588thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 617thClass 5 · 7.2f · rated 683rdClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 68
Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for GREATbest 82needs 72–732025-04-17 · TFR 62 · 7f · Good · C4 · off-trip2025-05-26 · TFR 78 · 6.05f · Gd/Frm · C52025-07-12 · TFR 78 · 7f · Firm · C4 · off-trip2025-07-26 · TFR 77 · 6.05f · Gd/Frm · C42025-08-27 · TFR 75 · 6f · Std · C42025-10-01 · TFR 82 · 7f · Std · C5 · off-trip2026-03-21 · TFR 44 · 7.06f · Std · C5 · off-trip2026-04-10 · TFR 68 · 6f · Gd/Sft · C52026-04-21 · TFR 68 · 6f · Good · C52026-05-20 · TFR 68 · 7.23f · Gd/Frm · C5 · off-trip2026-06-08 · TFR 61 · 6f · Good · C52026-06-20 · TFR 58 · 6.01f · Gd/Frm · C52026-07-09 · TFR 73 · 5.83f · Gd/Frm · C617 Apr 259 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Sam England · 337 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Beverley1/425.0%1.32/825.0%1.48
Over 5-6f trips5/3713.5%1.083/1520.0%1.34
In Class 6-7 company13/7617.1%1.174/3511.4%1.22
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦16/13212.1%0.984/567.1%0.72
At this time of year (Q3)11/8313.3%1.071/714.3%0.83
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 82 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72.0 demand
The rider
Shane Gray · last 14 days: 0/13 · at Beverley: A/E 1.4 (n70) · with this yard: A/E 1.42 (n36)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 10
+0.13 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph10th of 10
+0.63s
Slow away in 4 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed6th of 10
98.3%
One-paced late
Stride length8th of 10
7.31 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
9 Jul 26Carlisle5fGd/Frm1stTrue41.2 +0.18102.1+0.91
20 Jun 26Doncaster6fGd/Frm7th—41.0 -0.1998.8+0.30
8 Jun 26Pontefract6fGood8thTrue39.4 -0.05100.0+1.01
20 May 26Ayr7fGd/Frm7thFast early41.6 +0.57—+0.95
21 Apr 26Pontefract6fGood3rdTrue41.1 +0.1192.4+0.24
10 Apr 26Thirsk6fGd/Sft6thTrue40.8 +0.18—+0.35
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.97very slow2f+0.78par3f+0.80par4f+0.67fast5f+0.20fast6fledfast
Timed runs 2026-04-10 to 2026-07-09. · 2 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
HURT YOU NEVER (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 0.7L behind on today's terms · reverses
10 Apr 26 · 6f · Gd/Sft — finished 6th vs 7th, 0.3L ahead
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — reverses vs 1 rival(s) met (-0.7L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs OPAL STORM (read through BARMYBLADE, HI LORD, MOUNT RUAPEHU, ORBITAL CHIME) ≈ +5.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BIBENDUM (read through INSTANT BOND, KYBER CRYSTAL, DICKO THE LEGEND) ≈ -4.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BEERWAH (IRE) (read through KYBER CRYSTAL, MISS RAINBOW, BARMYBLADE, NOVAMAY) ≈ +4.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs LEVEL UP (IRE) (read through ONE MORE DREAM, EMPEROR'S SON) ≈ +2.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (65 today vs 62)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (73.0)Improving fast — last run rated 73, 9pts above his recent average of 64.0Proven over the trip (8 tries, beats market expectation at 2.02)Jockey goes well at this track (1.4x market expectation)Lost roughly 4.1 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRace-fit — ran 11 days agoHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“awkward start, held up, ridden and headway 2f out, led post”
#2 LEVEL UP (IRE) MID
DRAW 7 · OR 63 · P. J. McDonald / David Evans
MARKET drifting 9.2 → 12.5 · the market rates it a 8% chance
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
72.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
2nd on the figures, 1pts off the top, sharp from the stalls; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
72.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 87
Official mark (OR)
63 · last won off 64
Record at today's distance
10 wins from 63 tries · beats market expectation (1.43)
Days since last run
22
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 97.81% (one-paced late)
Headgear
Blinkers
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 6 · 5.1f · rated 722ndClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 725thClass 5 · 5.1f · rated 573rdClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 703rdClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 64
Career sheet · last 18 months · 33 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for LEVEL UP (IRE)best 87needs 72–732025-01-22 · TFR 53 · 5.03f · Std · C52025-01-30 · TFR 68 · 4.97f · Std · C62025-02-03 · TFR 53 · 5.1f · Std · C62025-02-24 · TFR 66 · 5.1f · Slow · C52025-03-22 · TFR 65 · 5.1f · Slow · C62025-04-07 · TFR 58 · 5.1f · Slow · C52025-05-10 · TFR 53 · 4.99f · Gd/Frm · C52025-06-23 · TFR 68 · 5.07f · Good · C52025-06-26 · TFR 75 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-07-02 · TFR 75 · 5.07f · Gd/Frm · C62025-07-19 · TFR 47 · 5.01f · Gd/Frm · C52025-07-26 · TFR 68 · 5.07f · Gd/Frm · C52025-08-09 · TFR 69 · 4.99f · Gd/Frm · C52025-08-29 · TFR 58 · 5.05f · Soft · C52025-09-06 · TFR 66 · 5.1f · Slow · C52025-09-21 · TFR 66 · 4.97f · Std · C52025-10-04 · TFR 55 · 5.1f · Slow · C62025-10-09 · TFR 71 · 5f · Slow · C62025-10-18 · TFR 57 · 5.1f · Slow · C62025-11-06 · TFR 63 · 5f · Slow · C52025-12-22 · TFR 64 · 5.03f · Std/Slow · C62025-12-26 · TFR 55 · 5.1f · Slow · C52026-01-10 · TFR 67 · 5.03f · Std · C52026-01-22 · TFR 59 · 4.97f · Std · C62026-01-29 · TFR 52 · 5.03f · Std · C62026-03-05 · TFR 67 · 5.03f · Std · C42026-04-05 · TFR 67 · 5.05f · Good · C62026-04-18 · TFR 69 · 5.04f · Good · C62026-05-19 · TFR 64 · 4.99f · Good · C62026-05-26 · TFR 70 · 5.05f · Gd/Frm · C52026-06-15 · TFR 57 · 5.07f · Good · C52026-06-17 · TFR 72 · 5f · Soft · C62026-06-28 · TFR 72 · 5.1f · Std · C622 Jan 2528 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
David Evans · 893 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips31/3409.1%0.8912/8514.1%1.29
Coming back after 15 to 45 days35/33010.6%0.989/7711.7%1.23
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company ✦29/23412.4%0.93/585.2%0.4
At this time of year (Q3)19/2069.2%0.922/258.0%0.54
Too few runners to read reliably
At Beverley (small sample)1/520.0%2.410/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 87 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72.0 demand
The rider
P. J. McDonald · last 14 days: 5/21 · at Beverley: A/E 0.92 (n74) · with this yard: A/E 1.52 (n20)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields9th of 10
-0.10 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 10
+0.01s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 10
97.8%
One-paced late
Stride length9th of 10
7.31 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
28 Jun 26Wolverhampton5fStd2ndTrue40.3 +0.12100.5-0.02
17 Jun 26Ffos Las5fSoft2ndFast early41.4 +0.2395.9+0.00
15 Jun 26Chepstow5fGood5thTrue42.5 -0.7898.8+0.00
26 May 26Bath5fGd/Frm3rdTrue41.8 +0.2898.9+0.05
19 May 26Lingfield4fGood3rdFast early42.1 -0.2397.0+0.00
18 Apr 26Nottingham5fGood2ndFast early41.5 -0.2595.8+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledfast2fledpar3fledpar4fledslow5f+0.10slow
Timed runs 2026-04-18 to 2026-06-28. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
DANDY DINMONT (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 1.9L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
5 Apr 26 · 5f · Good — finished 2nd vs 5th, 1.5L ahead
BIBENDUM · 1 meeting≈ 1.8L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
3 Feb 25 · 5.1f · Std — finished 8th vs 6th, 1.5L behind
THIN [single meeting dominates the net] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (-1.9L adj, 3 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs HURT YOU NEVER (IRE) (read through HIGH OPINION, WINCHURCH, LIPSINK, SAM'S HOPE) ≈ +3.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs GREAT (read through ONE MORE DREAM, EMPEROR'S SON) ≈ -2.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs OPAL STORM (read through SILKY ROBIN, NAD ALSHIBA SNOW, MARIS ANGEL, HONOUR YOUR DREAMS) ≈ -2.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs DC COGENT (read through PAPA DON'T PREACH, STASH THE CASH, MIDNIGHT LIR, IMPERIAL GUARD) ≈ -1.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (72.0)Proven over the trip (63 tries, beats market expectation at 1.43)NEARLY WON LTO — traded 2.0 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“led, ridden over 1f out, headed final 1f, no extra”
#3 BEERWAH (IRE) HELD-UP
DRAW 9 · OR 62 · Jack Callan / John & Sean Quinn
MARKET drifting 14.5 → 18.5 · the market rates it a 5% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 6+ / 0−
72.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
3rd on the figures, 1pts off the top, one of the two strongest finishers here; the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
FormLab Figure
72.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 72
Official mark (OR)
62 · last won off 58
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 19 tries · beats market expectation (1.63)
Days since last run
25
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.6s) · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 100.85% (holds late)
Headgear
Blinkers
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 726thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 537thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 451stClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 662ndClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 64
Career sheet · last 18 months · 16 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for BEERWAH (IRE)needs 72–73best 722025-04-09 · TFR 49 · 5f · Good · C52025-05-05 · TFR 52 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-06-02 · TFR 58 · 5.5f · Gd/Frm · C62025-06-17 · TFR 46 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-06-20 · TFR 45 · 5f · Firm · C52025-07-25 · TFR 58 · 5f · Good · C62025-08-01 · TFR 43 · 5f · Std · C62025-09-13 · TFR 32 · 5f · Good · C62025-09-23 · TFR 63 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C62025-10-13 · TFR 63 · 5f · Good · C62025-10-28 · TFR 53 · 5.96f · Soft · C62026-04-24 · TFR 64 · 5.01f · Gd/Frm · C62026-04-30 · TFR 66 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-15 · TFR 45 · 5.03f · Good · C62026-06-05 · TFR 53 · 5f · Good · C62026-06-25 · TFR 72 · 5.04f · Gd/Frm · C69 Apr 2525 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
John & Sean Quinn · 779 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 6-7 company17/10915.6%1.338/3522.9%1.76
Over 5-6f trips35/32810.7%0.9713/8914.6%1.74
Above their last winning mark17/13912.2%0.868/4717.0%1.7
On turf46/4859.5%0.8411/10011.0%1.39
In fields of 8-1129/3328.7%0.788/6711.9%1.36
Coming back after 15 to 45 days31/30010.3%0.938/7610.5%1.16
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)28/27810.1%0.913/1520.0%2.21
At Beverley (small sample)3/3010.0%0.680/60.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 72 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72.0 demand
The rider
Jack Callan · last 14 days: 3/29 · at Beverley: A/E 0 (n1)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 10
+0.02 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 10
+0.23s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 10
100.8%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length1st of 10
7.57 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
25 Jun 26Nottingham5fGd/Frm1stSlow early42.1 +0.18104.1-0.05
5 Jun 26Thirsk5fGood6thFast early42.5 +0.0898.8+0.18
15 May 26Hamilton Park5fGood7thTrue43.4 -0.12100.9+0.39
30 Apr 26Redcar5fGd/Frm1stFast early43.3 +0.37100.1+0.30
24 Apr 26Doncaster5fGd/Frm2ndTrue41.2 -0.12103.5+0.40
28 Oct 25Catterick Bridge5fSoft6thTrue38.5 -0.2697.6+0.19
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.22slow2f+0.21slow3f+0.18par4f+0.03par5fledvery fast
Timed runs 2025-10-28 to 2026-06-25. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
OPAL STORM · 1 meeting≈ 0.2L behind on today's terms · line-ball
24 Apr 26 · 5f · Gd/Frm — finished 2nd vs 5th, 2.15L ahead
TOPTIME · 1 meeting≈ 3.2L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
5 Jun 26 · 5f · Good — finished 6th vs 3rd, 3.5L behind
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (-1.7L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs GREAT (read through KYBER CRYSTAL, MISS RAINBOW, BARMYBLADE, NOVAMAY) ≈ -4.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs DREAM DEAL (read through WITHOUT FLAW, SOLAR BIRICZ, SANBONA, INVINCIBLE ANNICE) ≈ -3.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs DC COGENT (read through INVINCIBLE CROWN, CANARIA QUEEN, MARAJITO, ZUFFOLO) ≈ +1.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BIBENDUM (read through SOLAR BIRICZ, LADY BOUQUET, THUNDERSTORM KATIE, STARTLING) ≈ -0.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (62 today vs 58)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (72.0)Improving fast — last run rated 72, 15pts above his recent average of 56.7Proven over the trip (19 tries, beats market expectation at 1.63)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 3 here)
LTO comment
“chased leaders, hung left final 1f, edged ahead final 50 yds”
#4 DC COGENT HELD-UP
DRAW 8 · OR 64 · Ben Robinson / Bryan Smart
MARKET drifting 16.5 → 22 · the market rates it a 4% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
71.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
4th on the figures, 2pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; the clock has it fading late.
FormLab Figure
71.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 81
Official mark (OR)
64 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 17 tries · below market expectation (0.34)
Days since last run
34
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.6s)
Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 100.58% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 718thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 386thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 483rdClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 724thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 70
Career sheet · last 18 months · 17 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for DC COGENTbest 81needs 72–732025-03-12 · TFR 70 · 5f · Slow · C52025-06-07 · TFR 74 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42025-06-26 · TFR 81 · 5f · Slow · C52025-07-05 · TFR 51 · 5f · Good · C42025-07-15 · TFR 77 · 5f · Good · C52025-09-17 · TFR 42 · 5f · Soft · C42025-10-14 · TFR 71 · 6f · Std · C52025-11-03 · TFR 65 · 4.97f · Std · C52025-12-19 · TFR 76 · 6.07f · Std · C52026-02-10 · TFR 71 · 6f · Std · C52026-02-20 · TFR 70 · 6.07f · Std/Slow · C52026-03-10 · TFR 72 · 6.07f · Std · C52026-04-13 · TFR 70 · 5f · Std · C52026-05-09 · TFR 72 · 5.04f · Good · C52026-05-18 · TFR 48 · 5f · Good · C52026-05-28 · TFR 38 · 5f · Good · C52026-06-16 · TFR 71 · 5f · Good · C612 Mar 2516 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Bryan Smart · 411 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦22/16313.5%1.28/5813.8%1.16
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf16/1928.3%0.833/506.0%0.64
Over 5-6f trips32/25012.8%1.097/6910.1%0.83
Too few runners to read reliably
At Beverley (small sample)0/200.0%0.00/50.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)11/1209.2%0.860/60.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 81 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72.0 demand
The rider
Ben Robinson · last 14 days: 0/7 · at Beverley: A/E 0.75 (n91) · with this yard: A/E 0 (n4)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 10
+0.13 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph8th of 10
+0.30s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 10
100.6%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length7th of 10
7.39 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
16 Jun 26Thirsk5fGood3rdTrue42.9 +0.05100.2+0.31
28 May 26Ripon5fGood8thTrue42.1 -0.4299.3—
18 May 26Carlisle5fGood6thTrue39.6 +0.0296.1+0.60
9 May 26Nottingham5fGood3rdTrue42.7 +0.52101.1+0.44
13 Apr 26Newcastle5fStd4thTrue41.9 +0.25103.0+0.10
10 Mar 26Southwell6fStd4thTrue40.2 +0.37103.7+0.04
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.81par2f+0.63fast3f+0.43par4f+0.31slow5f+0.12slow
Timed runs 2026-03-10 to 2026-06-16. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
DANDY DINMONT (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 2.4L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
16 Jun 26 · 5f · Good — finished 3rd vs 9th, 3.1L ahead
HURT YOU NEVER (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 2.0L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
18 May 26 · 5f · Good — finished 6th vs 9th, 3.05L ahead
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (+2.2L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs TOPTIME (read through INVINCIBLE CROWN, WRESTLING REVENUE, IRISH DANCER, HARRY MOLE) ≈ -3.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs LEVEL UP (IRE) (read through PAPA DON'T PREACH, STASH THE CASH, MIDNIGHT LIR, IMPERIAL GUARD) ≈ +1.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs DREAM DEAL (read through KNICKS, MRS TRUMP, GANESHA, LORD ABAMA) ≈ +1.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BEERWAH (IRE) (read through INVINCIBLE CROWN, CANARIA QUEEN, MARAJITO, ZUFFOLO) ≈ -1.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayImproving fast — last run rated 71, 18pts above his recent average of 52.3Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“held up, headway when switched over 1f out, ran on”
#5 TOPTIME FRONT
DRAW 3 · OR 61 · George Wood / Roy Bowring
MARKET 12.5 · the market rates it a 8% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−
67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
5th on the figures, 6pts off the top, the quickest away of the early types; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
67.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 68
Official mark (OR)
61 · last won off 58
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 21 tries · beats market expectation (1.4)
Days since last run
39
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.6s) · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races front-runner (cooked late)
Run style & finish
Front-runner · finishing speed 96.71% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 673rdClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 664thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 6510thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated —1stClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 65
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for TOPTIMEneeds 72–73best 682025-03-30 · TFR 65 · 5.01f · Good · C52025-04-26 · TFR 61 · 5.01f · Gd/Frm · C52025-06-04 · TFR 63 · 6.08f · Gd/Sft · C62025-07-10 · TFR 55 · 5.65f · Gd/Frm · C52025-08-07 · TFR 65 · 5.04f · Gd/Sft · C62025-10-31 · TFR 65 · 4.97f · Std · C62026-06-05 · TFR 66 · 5f · Good · C62026-06-11 · TFR 67 · 5.04f · Soft · C630 Mar 2511 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Roy Bowring · 160 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 6-7 company9/6214.5%1.312/1414.3%1.33
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Beverley0/70.0%0.0—
In fields of 8-1111/8213.4%1.160/200.0%0.0
Over 5-6f trips13/8415.5%1.221/185.6%0.52
Above their last winning mark3/496.1%0.531/119.1%0.7
Coming back after 15 to 45 days6/5910.2%0.991/128.3%0.78
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 68 is below the ~72.0 the race demands
The rider
George Wood · last 14 days: 3/28 · at Beverley: A/E 0 (n9) · with this yard: A/E 3.24 (n4)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 10
+0.02 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 10
-0.06s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 5 of 6
Finish · closing speed10th of 10
96.7%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 10
7.41 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
11 Jun 26Nottingham5fSoft1stTrue41.1 -0.0497.6-0.35
5 Jun 26Thirsk5fGood3rdFast early42.5 +0.1298.3-0.06
31 Oct 25Southwell4fStd4thTrue43.0 +0.5496.5-0.11
6 Oct 25Pontefract5fSoft10thTrue39.9 -0.2492.3+0.15
7 Aug 25Nottingham5fGd/Sft1stTrue40.9 +0.0098.2+0.00
10 Jul 25Doncaster5fGd/Frm8thTrue42.1 -0.2697.2+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledfast2fledpar3fledpar4fledslow5fledslow
Timed runs 2025-07-10 to 2026-06-11. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
OPAL STORM · 3 meetings≈ 0.6L behind on today's terms · reverses
26 Apr 25 · 5f · Gd/Frm — finished 6th vs 2nd, 2.85L behind
DANDY DINMONT (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 1.6L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
26 Apr 25 · 5f · Gd/Frm — finished 6th vs 5th, 0.3L behind
HURT YOU NEVER (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 15.3L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
20 May 23 · 6f · Good — finished 17th vs 3rd, 14L behind
BEERWAH (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 3.2L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
5 Jun 26 · 5f · Good — finished 3rd vs 6th, 3.5L ahead
THIN [single meeting dominates the net] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 4 rival(s) met (-2.4L adj, 8 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs DC COGENT (read through INVINCIBLE CROWN, WRESTLING REVENUE, IRISH DANCER, HARRY MOLE) ≈ +3.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs LEVEL UP (IRE) (read through HIGH OPINION, INVINCIBLE CROWN, WOODHAY WHISPER, HONOUR YOUR DREAMS) ≈ +1.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs DREAM DEAL (read through WITHOUT FLAW, LUCIUS AURELIUS, SOLAR BIRICZ, KYBER CRYSTAL) ≈ -1.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs GREAT (read through KYBER CRYSTAL, MISS RAINBOW, INSTANT BOND) ≈ -0.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (61 today vs 58)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (21 tries, beats market expectation at 1.4)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Front — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“made all, shaken up 2f out, in command entering final 1f, closed down close home”
#6 BIBENDUM HELD-UP
DRAW 1 · OR 61 · Ryan Sexton / Julie Camacho
MARKET backed 8 → 6.6 · the market rates it a 15% chance
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
6th on the figures, 6pts off the top, one of the two strongest finishers here; rated well above the mark it last won from.
FormLab Figure
67.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 77
Official mark (OR)
61 · last won off 56
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 26 tries · below market expectation (0.89)
Days since last run
25
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s
Usually races midfield-closer
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 101.4% (holds late)
Headgear
Visor · yard 14% with first-time gear (A/E 1.71)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
1stClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 6710thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 465thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 544thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 6110thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 42
Career sheet · last 18 months · 20 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for BIBENDUMbest 77needs 72–732025-01-27 · TFR 42 · 6.09f · Slow · C52025-02-03 · TFR 59 · 5.1f · Std · C62025-02-22 · TFR 55 · 6f · Slow · C52025-03-12 · TFR 53 · 5f · Slow · C62025-04-12 · TFR 23 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C62025-04-27 · TFR 59 · 7f · Gd/Frm · C6 · off-trip2025-05-27 · TFR 25 · 7f · Good · C6 · off-trip2025-07-27 · TFR 46 · 6f · Good · C62025-08-23 · TFR 60 · 5.99f · Good · C62025-09-08 · TFR 58 · 6f · Slow · C62025-09-19 · TFR 59 · 5f · Slow · C62025-10-27 · TFR 61 · 5f · Slow · C62025-11-06 · TFR 49 · 6f · Slow · C62025-11-27 · TFR 67 · 5f · Slow · C62025-12-16 · TFR 67 · 5f · Slow · C62026-01-02 · TFR 42 · 6.09f · Std · C62026-01-20 · TFR 61 · 5f · Std · C52026-02-04 · TFR 54 · 6f · Std · C62026-06-06 · TFR 46 · 6.01f · Gd/Frm · C62026-06-25 · TFR 67 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C527 Jan 2525 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Julie Camacho · 903 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.1 on the exchange
Signature angle: with their 4yo+s
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦49/41111.9%1.1514/10014.0%1.26
On turf ✦59/46312.7%1.2814/11612.1%1.23
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)41/29114.1%1.372/229.1%0.8
In Class 6-7 company22/13915.8%1.213/3010.0%0.81
Too few runners to read reliably
At Beverley (small sample)11/3234.4%2.440/90.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 77 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72.0 demand
The rider
Ryan Sexton · last 14 days: 0/10 · at Beverley: A/E 1.58 (n38) · with this yard: A/E 1.08 (n448)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 10
-0.05 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 10
+0.19s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 10
101.4%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length6th of 10
7.41 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
25 Jun 26Leicester5fGd/Frm1stTrue41.4 +0.00102.2+0.00
6 Jun 26Doncaster6fGd/Frm10thTrue41.5 +0.0196.5+0.02
4 Feb 26Newcastle6fStd5thTrue40.6 -0.13102.8+0.14
2 Jan 26Wolverhampton6fStd10thTrue38.8 -0.56101.6+0.05
16 Dec 25Newcastle5fSlow3rdTrue41.2 +0.15104.5+0.34
27 Nov 25Newcastle5fSlow1stTrue41.9 +0.26100.9+0.40
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.18slow2f+0.17par3f+0.19par4f+0.04par5fledfast
Timed runs 2025-11-27 to 2026-06-25. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
LEVEL UP (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 1.8L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
3 Feb 25 · 5.1f · Std — finished 6th vs 8th, 1.5L ahead
DANDY DINMONT (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 1.9L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
20 Jan 26 · 5f · Std — finished 4th vs 10th, 3.25L ahead
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (+1.9L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs GREAT (read through INSTANT BOND, KYBER CRYSTAL, DICKO THE LEGEND) ≈ +4.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs OPAL STORM (read through GANESHA, THUNDERSTORM KATIE, INVINCIBLE ANNICE, LADY BOUQUET) ≈ +2.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs DREAM DEAL (read through BRAVE EMPIRE, ASADJUMEIRAH, SOLAR BIRICZ, LADY BOUQUET) ≈ -2.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BEERWAH (IRE) (read through SOLAR BIRICZ, LADY BOUQUET, THUNDERSTORM KATIE, STARTLING) ≈ +0.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
5lb above his last winning mark (61 today vs 56)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayImproving fast — last run rated 67, 11pts above his recent average of 55.7Jockey goes well at this track (1.58x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“rear, progress over 2f out, edged left, not sustain effort”
#7 DREAM DEAL HELD-UP
DRAW 4 · OR 62 · David Allan / Tim Easterby
MARKET backed 4.2 → 3.8 · the market rates it a 26% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 2+ / 0−
65.3 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
7th on the figures, 7.7pts off the top, prominent in the betting; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
65.3 · ranked #7 here · career best 71
Official mark (OR)
62 · last won off 56
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 30 tries · below market expectation (0.85)
Days since last run
5
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · among the slowest in its race
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 100.03% (one-paced late)
Headgear
Blinkers and tongue strap · yard 7% with first-time gear (A/E 0.83)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
7thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 562ndClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 702ndClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 701stClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 716thClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 61
Career sheet · last 18 months · 17 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for DREAM DEALneeds 72–73best 712025-04-23 · TFR 62 · 5.96f · Good · C52025-05-12 · TFR 46 · 5.96f · Gd/Frm · C52025-05-30 · TFR 55 · 5.96f · Good · C52025-07-10 · TFR 52 · 5.83f · Good · C62025-08-05 · TFR 63 · 5.96f · Gd/Frm · C62025-08-27 · TFR 58 · 5.96f · Gd/Frm · C62025-09-03 · TFR 50 · 6.03f · Gd/Sft · C62025-09-09 · TFR 68 · 5.96f · Gd/Frm · C62025-09-27 · TFR 64 · 6f · Good · C62025-10-17 · TFR 62 · 5.99f · Good · C52025-11-07 · TFR 57 · 6f · Slow · C52026-05-16 · TFR 23 · 6f · Good · C62026-05-26 · TFR 61 · 5.99f · Gd/Frm · C62026-06-16 · TFR 71 · 5f · Good · C52026-06-29 · TFR 70 · 5.01f · Good · C52026-07-07 · TFR 70 · 5.01f · Good · C52026-07-15 · TFR 56 · 5.96f · Gd/Frm · C423 Apr 2515 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tim Easterby · 2909 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 16+ odds, with their 4yo+s, off a TFR-RISING figure trend, in fields of 12-15
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Beverley15/1758.6%0.8611/5320.8%1.96
Above their last winning mark51/6747.6%0.6627/20613.1%1.16
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 71 is below the ~72.0 the race demands
The rider
David Allan · last 14 days: 6/45 · at Beverley: A/E 0.82 (n185) · with this yard: A/E 0.82 (n1578)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 10
-0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph9th of 10
+0.32s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed4th of 10
100.0%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length2nd of 10
7.54 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
15 Jul 26Catterick Bridge5fGd/Frm7thTrue40.2 -0.37101.8+0.45
7 Jul 26Pontefract5fGood2ndTrue39.9 -0.19103.1+0.15
29 Jun 26Pontefract5fGood2nd—39.5 -0.25102.6+0.15—
16 Jun 26Beverley5fGood1stTrue39.7 +0.11102.9+0.66
26 May 26Redcar5fGd/Frm6thTrue41.7 +0.14101.0+0.04
16 May 26Thirsk6fGood14thFast early42.0 +0.5088.7+0.46
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.85very slow2f+1.16slow3f+1.15par4f+0.58fast5f+0.60fast6f+0.87par
Timed runs 2026-05-16 to 2026-07-15. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
DANDY DINMONT (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 2.2L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
7 Jul 26 · 5f · Good — finished 2nd vs 5th, 2.5L ahead
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (+2.2L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs HURT YOU NEVER (IRE) (read through BRAVE EMPIRE, AY GEE ELL, SOLAR BIRICZ, LORD ABAMA) ≈ +4.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BEERWAH (IRE) (read through WITHOUT FLAW, SOLAR BIRICZ, SANBONA, INVINCIBLE ANNICE) ≈ +3.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs OPAL STORM (read through GANESHA, INVINCIBLE ANNICE, ZIVA'S STAR, BARMYBLADE) ≈ +2.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BIBENDUM (read through BRAVE EMPIRE, ASADJUMEIRAH, SOLAR BIRICZ, LADY BOUQUET) ≈ +2.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
6lb above his last winning mark (62 today vs 56)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayLost roughly 2.0 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRace-fit — ran 5 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 1 here)
LTO comment
“behind, pushed along halfway, never nearer”
#8 HURT YOU NEVER (IRE) PROMINENT
DRAW 6 · OR 64 · Jack Nicholls / Adrian Nicholls
MARKET drifting 12.5 → 18 · the market rates it a 6% chance
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
65.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
8th on the figures, 8pts off the top, runs the dominant winning style here; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
65.0 · ranked #8 here · career best 81
Official mark (OR)
64 · last won off 75
Record at today's distance
12 wins from 46 tries · beats market expectation (2.07)
Days since last run
11
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.7s)
Usually races prominent and weakens
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 98.67% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
5thClass 5 · 5.7f · rated 655thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 678thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated —9thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 413rdClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 67
Career sheet · last 18 months · 20 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for HURT YOU NEVER (IRE)best 81needs 72–732025-04-12 · TFR 32 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C52025-04-23 · TFR 70 · 5f · Good · C62025-05-04 · TFR 74 · 5.03f · Gd/Frm · C62025-05-19 · TFR 62 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-05-28 · TFR 71 · 5.03f · Good · C42025-06-05 · TFR 80 · 5.03f · Good · C52025-06-18 · TFR 68 · 5.03f · Good · C42025-07-03 · TFR 72 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-07-15 · TFR 78 · 5.04f · Gd/Sft · C52025-08-02 · TFR 81 · 5.03f · Gd/Frm · C52025-08-10 · TFR 44 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42025-08-27 · TFR 77 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42025-09-25 · TFR 54 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C22025-10-18 · TFR 9 · 5.96f · Gd/Sft · C42026-04-10 · TFR 71 · 6f · Gd/Sft · C52026-04-18 · TFR 48 · 6f · Good · C52026-05-08 · TFR 67 · 5f · Good · C52026-05-18 · TFR 41 · 5f · Good · C52026-07-02 · TFR 67 · 5.04f · Gd/Frm · C52026-07-09 · TFR 65 · 5.65f · Gd/Frm · C512 Apr 259 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Adrian Nicholls · 343 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 6-7 company7/798.9%0.754/2020.0%1.46
Coming back after 8 to 14 days7/6111.5%1.143/1717.6%1.24
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)10/1178.5%0.991/119.1%0.67
In fields of 8-1110/1486.8%0.772/267.7%0.77
Too few runners to read reliably
At Beverley (small sample)3/2313.0%1.431/520.0%1.05
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 84 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72.0 demand
The rider
Jack Nicholls · last 14 days: 4/22 · at Beverley: A/E 0.85 (n7) · with this yard: A/E 1.14 (n64)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields10th of 10
-0.21 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 41.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 10
+0.03s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 10
98.7%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 10
7.49 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
9 Jul 26Doncaster5fGd/Frm5thTrue41.7 -0.3497.2-0.05
2 Jul 26Nottingham5fGd/Frm5th—41.0 -0.32103.0-0.01—
3 Jun 26Ripon5fGood8thTrue42.1 -0.0994.0—
18 May 26Carlisle5fGood9thTrue39.6 -0.0293.9+0.00
8 May 26Ripon5fGood3rdSlow early40.7 -0.24101.7+0.20
18 Apr 26Thirsk6fGood15thTrue40.5 -0.28102.3+0.02
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledfast2fledpar3fledpar4f+0.02fast5f+0.15slow6f+0.58very slow
Timed runs 2026-04-18 to 2026-07-09. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
TOPTIME · 2 meetings≈ 15.3L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
20 May 23 · 6f · Good — finished 3rd vs 17th, 14L ahead
DC COGENT · 1 meeting≈ 2.0L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
18 May 26 · 5f · Good — finished 9th vs 6th, 3.05L behind
OPAL STORM · 1 meeting≈ 2.5L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
19 May 25 · 5f · Gd/Frm — finished 5th vs 1st, 4.15L behind
GREAT · 1 meeting≈ 0.7L ahead on today's terms · confirms
10 Apr 26 · 6f · Gd/Sft — finished 7th vs 6th, 0.3L behind
THIN [single meeting dominates the net] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 4 rival(s) met (+2.5L adj, 5 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs DREAM DEAL (read through BRAVE EMPIRE, AY GEE ELL, SOLAR BIRICZ, LORD ABAMA) ≈ -4.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs LEVEL UP (IRE) (read through HIGH OPINION, WINCHURCH, LIPSINK, SAM'S HOPE) ≈ -3.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs DANDY DINMONT (IRE) (read through BRAVE EMPIRE, BLUE LAKOTA, LORD ABAMA, DIGITAL) ≈ +0.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BEERWAH (IRE) (read through SOLAR BIRICZ, CANARIA QUEEN, BEAUMADIER, DESERT CHAMPION) ≈ +0.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
11lb below his last winning mark (64 today vs 75)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayProven over the trip (46 tries, beats market expectation at 2.07)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 11 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“pressed leader, led halfway, headed 2f out, carried left, no extra final 1f”
#9 DANDY DINMONT (IRE) HELD-UP FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 10 · OR 61 · Rowan Scott / Nigel Tinkler
MARKET 12.5 · the market rates it a 8% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 2−
60.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
9th on the figures, 13pts off the top, dropping in class; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
60.0 · ranked #9 here · career best 84
Official mark (OR)
61 · last won off 62
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 37 tries · below market expectation (0.73)
Days since last run
13
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 97.14% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
5thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 609thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 5710thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 251stClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 697thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 64
Career sheet · last 18 months · 19 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for DANDY DINMONT (IRE)best 84needs 72–732025-03-30 · TFR 72 · 5.01f · Good · C52025-04-14 · TFR 72 · 5.01f · Good · C52025-04-26 · TFR 65 · 5.01f · Gd/Frm · C52025-05-19 · TFR 60 · 5.99f · Gd/Frm · C52025-08-02 · TFR 75 · 6f · Good · C62025-08-23 · TFR 67 · 5.99f · Good · C52025-09-09 · TFR 70 · 5f · Firm · C52025-10-13 · TFR 73 · 6.01f · Gd/Frm · C52025-11-01 · TFR 73 · 6f · Slow · C52025-11-17 · TFR 74 · 5f · Slow · C52025-12-05 · TFR 70 · 5f · Std/Slow · C52025-12-19 · TFR 65 · 6f · Std · C52026-01-20 · TFR 49 · 5f · Std · C52026-04-05 · TFR 66 · 5.05f · Good · C62026-04-25 · TFR 64 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C52026-05-12 · TFR 69 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52026-05-29 · TFR 25 · 5f · Good · C62026-06-16 · TFR 57 · 5f · Good · C62026-07-07 · TFR 60 · 5.01f · Good · C530 Mar 257 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Nigel Tinkler · 922 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Beverley5/667.6%0.982/2010.0%1.86
In Class 6-7 company ✦32/27911.5%1.179/999.1%1.19
Coming back after 8 to 14 days11/1756.3%0.694/3910.3%1.18
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦28/3677.6%0.885/1054.8%0.59
At this time of year (Q3)24/3008.0%0.93/358.6%0.82
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 84 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72.0 demand
The rider
Rowan Scott · last 14 days: 3/15 · at Beverley: A/E 1.04 (n97) · with this yard: A/E 0.84 (n368)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 10
+0.10 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 10
+0.25s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed9th of 10
97.1%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 10
7.47 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
7 Jul 26Pontefract5fGood5thTrue40.3 +0.22102.8+0.56
16 Jun 26Thirsk5fGood9thTrue42.8 -0.0298.1+0.42
29 May 26Carlisle5fGood10thTrue41.4 +0.4094.3+0.03
12 May 26Beverley5fGd/Frm1stFast early39.9 -0.3097.3+0.23
25 Apr 26Haydock Park6fGd/Frm7thFast early41.6 +0.2793.6+0.26
5 Apr 26Bath5fGood5thFast early40.5 +0.0296.8+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.81very slow2f+0.88slow3f+0.79par4f+0.72fast5f+0.63par
Timed runs 2026-04-05 to 2026-07-07. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
OPAL STORM · 5 meetings≈ 3.0L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
17 Nov 25 · 5f · Slow — finished 2nd vs 5th, 2.75L ahead
TOPTIME · 2 meetings≈ 1.6L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
26 Apr 25 · 5f · Gd/Frm — finished 5th vs 6th, 0.3L ahead
LEVEL UP (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 1.9L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
5 Apr 26 · 5f · Good — finished 5th vs 2nd, 1.5L behind
BIBENDUM · 1 meeting≈ 1.9L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
20 Jan 26 · 5f · Std — finished 10th vs 4th, 3.25L behind
DC COGENT · 1 meeting≈ 2.4L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
16 Jun 26 · 5f · Good — finished 9th vs 3rd, 3.1L behind
DREAM DEAL · 1 meeting≈ 2.2L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
7 Jul 26 · 5f · Good — finished 5th vs 2nd, 2.5L behind
Read through a common rival
vs GREAT (read through FISCAL POLICY, LORD ABAMA, ONE MORE DREAM, HABRDI) ≈ +1.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs HURT YOU NEVER (IRE) (read through BRAVE EMPIRE, BLUE LAKOTA, LORD ABAMA, DIGITAL) ≈ -0.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BEERWAH (IRE) (read through INVINCIBLE CROWN, WITHOUT FLAW, SKI ANGEL, IRISH DANCER) ≈ -0.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayImproving fast — last run rated 60, 12pts above his recent average of 47.3Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 14 runsLost roughly 2.5 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 5 here)
LTO comment
“slowly away, rear, closed up only late”
#10 OPAL STORM PROMINENT
DRAW 2 · OR 55 · Faye McManoman / Brian Rothwell
MARKET backed 44 → 32 · the market rates it a 3% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 4−
42 FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
10th on the figures, 31pts off the top, runs the dominant winning style here; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
42 · ranked #10 here · career best 65
Official mark (OR)
55 · last won off 52
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 35 tries · beats market expectation (1.34)
Days since last run
6
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s)
Usually races front-runner (cooked late)
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 97.28% (one-paced late)
Headgear
Cheekpieces and tongue strap
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
8thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 4012thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 305thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 561stClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 619thClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 44
Career sheet · last 18 months · 21 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for OPAL STORMneeds 72–73best 652025-03-30 · TFR 50 · 5.01f · Good · C52025-04-14 · TFR 55 · 5.01f · Good · C52025-04-26 · TFR 65 · 5.01f · Gd/Frm · C52025-05-13 · TFR 58 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-05-19 · TFR 65 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-06-02 · TFR 50 · 5.5f · Gd/Frm · C62025-06-06 · TFR 50 · 5f · Good · C52025-06-21 · TFR 59 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C52025-07-06 · TFR 62 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C52025-07-21 · TFR 65 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C62025-07-29 · TFR 58 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-09-16 · TFR 33 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C62025-09-25 · TFR 60 · 6f · Slow · C62025-11-07 · TFR 51 · 5f · Slow · C52025-11-17 · TFR 51 · 5f · Slow · C52025-12-09 · TFR 47 · 6f · Slow · C62026-03-14 · TFR 44 · 6.07f · Std · C62026-04-02 · TFR 61 · 4.97f · Std · C62026-04-24 · TFR 56 · 5.01f · Gd/Frm · C62026-05-03 · TFR 30 · 5.03f · Good · C62026-07-14 · TFR 40 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C630 Mar 2514 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Brian Rothwell · 114 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips2/306.7%0.751/147.1%3.33
In Class 6-7 company0/520.0%0.01/205.0%2.98
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Beverley1/273.7%0.930/50.0%0.0
Coming back after within 7 days1/520.0%1.460/40.0%0.0
On turf2/633.2%0.690/190.0%0.0
In fields of 8-111/561.8%0.630/150.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
Above their last winning mark (small sample)1/166.2%0.460/30.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)1/333.0%0.970/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 65 is below the ~72.0 the race demands
The rider
Faye McManoman · last 14 days: 0/8 · at Beverley: A/E 0.64 (n63) · with this yard: A/E 0.62 (n71)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 10
+0.13 mph
About the level of its fields · 42.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 10
+0.18s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed8th of 10
97.3%
One-paced late
Stride length10th of 10
7.11 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
14 Jul 26Beverley5fGd/Frm8thFast early41.5 +0.3496.7+0.09
3 May 26Hamilton Park5fGood12thFast early43.1 +0.0693.4+0.59
24 Apr 26Doncaster5fGd/Frm5thTrue41.6 +0.30101.2+0.14
2 Apr 26Southwell4fStd1stFast early43.0 +0.0799.0+0.01
14 Mar 26Southwell6fStd9thTrue39.0 -0.3098.7+0.08
9 Dec 25Newcastle6fSlow7thTrue41.6 +0.3094.6+0.16
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.27par2f+0.28fast3f+0.26slow4f+0.11slow5f+1.16very slow
Timed runs 2025-12-09 to 2026-07-14. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
DANDY DINMONT (IRE) · 5 meetings≈ 3.0L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
17 Nov 25 · 5f · Slow — finished 5th vs 2nd, 2.75L behind
TOPTIME · 3 meetings≈ 0.6L ahead on today's terms · confirms
26 Apr 25 · 5f · Gd/Frm — finished 2nd vs 6th, 2.85L ahead
HURT YOU NEVER (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 2.5L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
19 May 25 · 5f · Gd/Frm — finished 1st vs 5th, 4.15L ahead
BEERWAH (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 0.2L ahead on today's terms · line-ball
24 Apr 26 · 5f · Gd/Frm — finished 5th vs 2nd, 2.15L behind
Read through a common rival
vs GREAT (read through BARMYBLADE, HI LORD, MOUNT RUAPEHU, ORBITAL CHIME) ≈ -5.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs DREAM DEAL (read through GANESHA, INVINCIBLE ANNICE, ZIVA'S STAR, BARMYBLADE) ≈ -2.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BIBENDUM (read through GANESHA, THUNDERSTORM KATIE, INVINCIBLE ANNICE, LADY BOUQUET) ≈ -2.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs LEVEL UP (IRE) (read through SILKY ROBIN, NAD ALSHIBA SNOW, MARIS ANGEL, HONOUR YOUR DREAMS) ≈ +2.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (55 today vs 52)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (35 tries, beats market expectation at 1.34)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 6 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 10 here)Runs Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“stumbled soon after start, in touch, pushed along over 1f out, weakened inside final 1f”