THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.7%winner in the projected 1–2–3 64.8%176 races · latest settled day: #1 2/7, top-3 6/7forensic read: #1 29.1% · top-3 61.2% (103)full record →
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Measured on their own past openings, IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE) should reach the front first — roughly 1.4 lengths faster to the 2f marker than the next early type. Winners here typically raced recently (95% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (52% from the first three favourites); the typical winner also sits around 3rd at halfway before quickening late, having spent about 49% of its energy before the final two furlongs. On the measured reads, IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE) leads on 89, 1pts clear of GLENFINNAN (IRE) — the quickest away of the early types. The case against the top pick: tends to burn early and empty out. The market sees it differently, making GLENFINNAN (IRE) the 33% favourite — a horse our figures rate 2nd.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE)
OR 80 · Jack Garritty / Mark Walford
MARKET drifting 3.1 → 4.4 · the market rates it a 23% chance
89.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 5+ / 2−Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (89.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.42x market expectation)A course winner (1 from 2 here)
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
GLENFINNAN (IRE)
OR 79 · Callum Rodriguez / Michael Dods
MARKET backed 4.5 → 3.1 · the market rates it a 33% chance
88.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #2 in this field (88.0)Proven over the trip (28 tries, beats market expectation at 1.74)Historically underestimated by the market
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 4
A WAR EAGLE (IRE)
OR 84 · Billy Garritty / Michael & David Easterby
MARKET drifting 3.8 → 4.7 · the market rates it a 22% chance
84.7FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayRated #3 in this field (84.7)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1GLENFINNAN (IRE)net +8figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, proven at trip − burns early and empties
2IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE)net +7figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, quickest early type, sharp from the stalls, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup − burns early and empties
3A WAR EAGLE (IRE)net +4drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, sharp from the stalls, yard positive in today’s setup − figure earned on another surface, burns early and empties
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK
IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE) carries tends to burn early and empty out. GLENFINNAN (IRE) is the one to beat it — an edge IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE) lacks: backed since the morning.
Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
contested early pace likely (3 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
WHAT WINS THIS RACE
21 similar races at BEVERLEY, 6.9-7.9f, all-aged handicaps, Class 3-5, Jun-Aug, 2023-2026 (class band widened for sample)
Winners here typically raced recently (95% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (52% from the first three favourites). 10% won last time out, 43% were placed 2nd-3rd.
Age
38% 4yo
24% 6yo+
24% 5yo
Last ran
57% within 14d
38% 15-45d
5% 46-90d
Market
48% 4th+ in the market
24% 2nd favourite
24% favourite
LTO form
48% unplaced last time
43% placed last time
10% won last time
The shape of past winners here · context only, never picks the horse.
Where the pace is drawn · 5 runners · stalls 1–5
12345
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE) is 2/15 on softer ground · GLENFINNAN (IRE) is 0/8 on softer ground · A WAR EAGLE (IRE) is 1/2 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
A WAR EAGLE (IRE)FRONT49.5%97.2just behind the quickest early pair — presses, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE)FRONT50.8%97.1the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
GLENFINNAN (IRE)MID50.0%97.8the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
TATTIE BOGLEMID50.0%99.3the best late speed in a one-paced field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
COOLREE (IRE)PROMINENT50.3%95.1concedes ~2.7L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE)FRONTtypically ~3.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
A WAR EAGLE (IRE)FRONTtypically ~2.3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
COOLREE (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
measured on their own past openings, IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE) should reach the front first — roughly 1.4 lengths faster to the 2f marker than the next early type · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE)FRONT
DRAW 2 · OR 80 · Jack Garritty / Mark Walford
MARKET drifting 3.1 → 4.4 · the market rates it a 23% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 5+ / 2−
89.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Top on the figures, 1pts clear of the next, the quickest away of the early types; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
89.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 99
Official mark (OR)
80 · last won off 79
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 36 tries · below market expectation (0.89)
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock Usually races front-runner (cooked late)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 21 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Mark Walford · 411 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.8 on the exchange
Signature angle: switching jockey after a defeat
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=77/4216.7%1.221/128.3%2.01
Coming back after 15 to 45 days11/1358.1%0.927/5113.7%1.69
In Class 4-5 company9/1605.6%0.886/5610.7%1.35
Above their last winning mark10/5318.9%1.435/4112.2%1.32
On turf ✦24/2499.6%1.069/8810.2%1.23
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Beverley5/3514.3%1.180/140.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)16/14011.4%1.341/166.2%0.77
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 99 at/around today's trip, clears the ~87.3 demand
The rider
Jack Garritty · last 14 days: 0/12· at Beverley: A/E 1.42 (n49)· with this yard: A/E 1.43 (n145)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 5
-0.11 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 5
-0.09s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 4 of 4
Finish · closing speed4th of 5
97.1%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 5
7.34 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-16 to 2026-07-04. · 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
THIN [single meeting dominates the net] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 4 rival(s) met (+5.6L adj, 5 meeting(s))
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 4 todayThe top rating in this field (89.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.42x market expectation)Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 2 here)Runs Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led, joined under 2f out, ridden soon after, edged ahead again final 100 yds, headed close home, stuck to task”
#2GLENFINNAN (IRE)MID
DRAW 1 · OR 79 · Callum Rodriguez / Michael Dods
MARKET backed 4.5 → 3.1 · the market rates it a 33% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
88.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
2nd on the figures, 1pts off the top, backed since the morning; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
88.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 102
Official mark (OR)
79 · last won off 78
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 28 tries · beats market expectation (1.74)
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.3s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent
Career sheet · last 18 months · 17 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Dods · 1246 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 7-8f trips35/3579.8%0.9913/8914.6%1.59
Above their last winning mark ✦31/27711.2%1.0212/7715.6%1.23
In Class 4-5 company56/56010.0%0.9819/15412.3%1.22
Coming back after 15 to 45 days47/5089.3%0.9117/14112.1%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=728/14918.8%1.134/478.5%0.63
Too few runners to read reliably
At Beverley (small sample)4/636.3%0.732/1118.2%1.45
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 102 at/around today's trip, clears the ~87.3 demand
The rider
Callum Rodriguez · last 14 days: 3/20· at Beverley: A/E 1.1 (n56)· with this yard: A/E 1.08 (n44)· notable booking — a top rider for a yard he seldom rides for
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 5
-0.09 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 5
+0.32s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 5
97.8%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 5
7.61 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-05-09 to 2026-07-04. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE) · 2 meetings≈ 3.3L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
vs A WAR EAGLE (IRE) (read through GWEEDORE, PRIAPOS, GOLDMOYNE, PERSUASION) ≈ +3.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 4 todayRated #2 in this field (88.0)Proven over the trip (28 tries, beats market expectation at 1.74)BOOKING UPGRADE — 12m top-17 jockey booked, only 2 ride(s) for this yard in 12m, after non-elite riders on the horse: an intent read (context only,…Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 2 here)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“mid-field, loomed up over 2f out, weakened final 1f”
#3A WAR EAGLE (IRE)FRONT
DRAW 4 · OR 84 · Billy Garritty / Michael & David Easterby
MARKET drifting 3.8 → 4.7 · the market rates it a 22% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
84.7FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
3rd on the figures, 4.3pts off the top, dropping in class; its figure was earned on a different surface.
FormLab Figure
84.7 · ranked #3 here · career best 90
Official mark (OR)
84 · last won off 82
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 13 tries · in line with the market (1.0)
Days since last run
45
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.4s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent and weakens
Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael & David Easterby · 1234 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.9 on the exchange
Signature angle: keeping the same jockey
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days46/5168.9%0.8417/14411.8%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=7 ✦17/15910.7%0.684/508.0%0.7
In Class 4-5 company ✦40/5287.6%0.8210/1546.5%0.74
At Beverley10/8112.3%1.072/258.0%0.76
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 91 at/around today's trip, clears the ~87.3 demand
The rider
Billy Garritty · last 14 days: 1/16· at Beverley: A/E 0.92 (n66)· with this yard: A/E 0.91 (n452)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 5
-0.23 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 5
+0.05s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 5
97.2%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 5
7.35 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
5 Jun 26Epsom Downs7fGd/Sft3rdFast early40.4 -0.2097.2+0.00
6 May 26Chester7fGood5thSlow early39.5 -1.08103.6+0.14
Timed runs 2025-09-23 to 2026-06-05. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
IT JUST TAKES TIME (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 34.0L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-34.0L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs GLENFINNAN (IRE) (read through GWEEDORE, PRIAPOS, GOLDMOYNE, PERSUASION) ≈ -3.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs COOLREE (IRE) (read through CAPITAL GUARANTEE, HARSWELL RUBY, PRIAPOS, LAW DEGREE) ≈ -2.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs TATTIE BOGLE (read through CAPITAL GUARANTEE, CATALYSE, RARE CHANGE, MIAMI MATRIX) ≈ -2.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Figure OFF-CONTEXT (C2→C4) — earned under different conditionsProven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 4 todayDrops in class todayRated #3 in this field (84.7)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (2 from 3 here)
LTO comment
“chased leader, pushed along soon after halfway, badly hampered over 2f out, forced to switch over 1f out, kept on”
#4TATTIE BOGLEMID
DRAW 3 · OR 74 · Rowan Scott / Charlie Johnston
MARKET backed 12.5 → 10.5 · the market rates it a 10% chance
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−
79.3FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
4th on the figures, 9.7pts off the top, backed since the morning; rated well above the mark it last won from.
FormLab Figure
79.3 · ranked #4 here · career best 82
Official mark (OR)
74 · last won off 68
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 24 tries · below market expectation (0.64)
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.0s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race Usually races prominent
Career sheet · last 18 months · 24 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Johnston · 2319 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange
Signature angle: with the mark MARK-FALLING3+
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Beverley13/6819.1%1.182/229.1%0.66
Above their last winning mark ✦58/48811.9%0.8820/17311.6%0.79
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦104/85612.1%0.9922/2349.4%0.8
In fields of <=7 ✦104/62616.6%0.9431/21914.2%0.84
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 83 is below the ~87.3 the race demands
The rider
Rowan Scott · last 14 days: 3/15· at Beverley: A/E 1.04 (n97)· with this yard: A/E 2.08 (n31)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 5
-0.07 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 5
+0.14s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 5
99.3%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 5
7.43 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-05-20 to 2026-07-04. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
vs A WAR EAGLE (IRE) (read through CAPITAL GUARANTEE, CATALYSE, RARE CHANGE, MIAMI MATRIX) ≈ +2.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
6lb above his last winning mark (74 today vs 68)Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayStable cold this week — 1 wins from 21 runsLost roughly 1.6 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 2 here)
LTO comment
“steadied start, ridden and headway wide under 2f out, led final 100 yds, well on top”
#5COOLREE (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 5 · OR 69 · Jack Nicholls / Sam England
MARKET 7.8 · the market rates it a 13% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
76.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
5th on the figures, 13pts off the top, runs the dominant winning style here; rated well above the mark it last won from.
FormLab Figure
76.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 77
Official mark (OR)
69 · last won off 64
Record at today's distance
5 wins from 25 tries · beats market expectation (1.85)
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock Usually races front-runner
Career sheet · last 18 months · 20 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Sam England · 337 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Beverley1/425.0%1.32/825.0%1.48
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 4-5 company ✦14/13910.1%0.955/628.1%0.75
In fields of <=78/3423.5%1.342/1612.5%0.75
At this time of year (Q3)11/8313.3%1.071/714.3%0.83
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 77 is below the ~87.3 the race demands
The rider
Jack Nicholls · last 14 days: 4/22· at Beverley: A/E 0.85 (n7)· with this yard: A/E 0 (n2)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 5
-0.23 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 5
+0.03s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 5
95.1%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 5
7.22 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-05-04 to 2026-07-04. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
vs A WAR EAGLE (IRE) (read through CAPITAL GUARANTEE, HARSWELL RUBY, PRIAPOS, LAW DEGREE) ≈ +2.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
5lb above his last winning mark (69 today vs 64)Yet to win at this level — a Class 5 winner, upped to Class 4 todayProven over the trip (25 tries, beats market expectation at 1.85)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (4 from 9 here)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“pressed leader, went on over 2f out, headed final 100 yds”