THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.7%winner in the projected 1–2–3 64.8%176 races · latest settled day: #1 2/7, top-3 6/7forensic read: #1 29.1% · top-3 61.2% (103)full record →
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Measured on their own past openings, ALICE'S INFLUENCE should reach the front first — roughly 1.5 lengths faster to the 2f marker than the next early type. Winners here typically raced recently (100% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (61% from the first three favourites); the typical winner also sits around 3rd at halfway before quickening late, having spent about 49% of its energy before the final two furlongs. On the measured reads, AFRICAN SPIRIT (IRE) leads on 60, 0pts clear of WALK ON WALK ON (IRE) — runs the dominant winning style here. Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. The shape danger is ICE SHOW — the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The market is line-ball — it just prefers ALICE'S INFLUENCE at 21% to our top pick.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
AFRICAN SPIRIT (IRE)
OR 53 · Cieren Fallon / Ian Williams
MARKET backed 5.7 → 4.9 · the market rates it a 20% chance
60.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
The top rating in this field (60.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.84x market expectation)
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 7
WALK ON WALK ON (IRE)
OR 52 · Ryan Sexton / Noel Wilson
MARKET drifting 6.6 → 8.6 · the market rates it a 12% chance
60.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−Rated #2 in this field (60.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.58x market expectation)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 6
KING SHARJA
OR 55 · James Sullivan / Ruth Carr
MARKET drifting 4.5 → 5.3 · the market rates it a 19% chance
58FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (58)Proven over the trip (28 tries, beats market expectation at 1.42)Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runs
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1AFRICAN SPIRIT (IRE)net +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, runs the dominant winning style here
2KING SHARJAnet +5race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup
3ALICE'S INFLUENCEnet +5race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, quickest early type, top-2 speed vs its fields, sharp from the stalls, runs the dominant winning style here − 5lb+ above last winning mark
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK
Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. KING SHARJA is the one to beat it — an edge AFRICAN SPIRIT (IRE) lacks: proven at the trip.
Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
WHAT WINS THIS RACE
18 similar races at BEVERLEY, 6.9-7.9f, all-aged handicaps, Class 6, Jun-Aug, 2023-2026
Winners here typically raced recently (100% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (61% from the first three favourites). 11% won last time out, 22% were placed 2nd-3rd.
Age
39% 4yo
33% 6yo+
17% 5yo
Last ran
67% 15-45d
33% within 14d
Market
39% 4th+ in the market
28% 2nd favourite
28% favourite
LTO form
67% unplaced last time
22% placed last time
11% won last time
The shape of past winners here · context only, never picks the horse.
Where the pace is drawn · 9 runners · stalls 1–9
123456789
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–9).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: AFRICAN SPIRIT (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground · WALK ON WALK ON (IRE) is 0/5 on softer ground · KING SHARJA is 2/11 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
KING SHARJAMID50.3%100.7the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
AFRICAN SPIRIT (IRE)MID51.2%99.0one-paced late — 6th of 9 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
BACK FROM DUBAI (IRE)PROMINENT50.5%99.3concedes ~1.5L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late
ICE SHOWHELD-UP49.3%102.6the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
BANTZ (IRE)MID50.8%95.9held up without the late gear (9th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
RYEFIELDMID52.1%97.7held up without the late gear (7th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
WALK ON WALK ON (IRE)MID50.5%97.6held up without the late gear (8th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
ITSZABOYMID50.9%99.8the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
ALICE'S INFLUENCEFRONT49.7%99.5the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
ALICE'S INFLUENCEFRONTtypically ~2.1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
BACK FROM DUBAI (IRE)PROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.10s off the field’s best
measured on their own past openings, ALICE'S INFLUENCE should reach the front first — roughly 1.5 lengths faster to the 2f marker than the next early type · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1AFRICAN SPIRIT (IRE)MID
DRAW 1 · OR 53 · Cieren Fallon / Ian Williams
MARKET backed 5.7 → 4.9 · the market rates it a 20% chance
60.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Top on the figures, just ahead of the next, runs the dominant winning style here; one-paced late — 6th of 9 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.
FormLab Figure
60.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 85
Official mark (OR)
53 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 4 tries
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class Usually races midfield and fades
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Christian Williams
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 85 at/around today's trip, clears the ~60.0 demand
The rider
Cieren Fallon · last 14 days: 5/35· at Beverley: A/E 1.84 (n29)· with this yard: A/E 0.55 (n62)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 9
-0.17 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 9
+0.19s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 9
99.0%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 9
7.31 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
29 Jun 26Windsor8fGd/Frm3rdTrue40.3 +0.02105.3+0.00
8 Jun 26Pontefract10fGood8thTrue36.5 +0.25100.8+0.74
16 May 26Newmarket7fGood7thTrue39.8 -0.3193.9+0.06
25 Jan 25Wolverhampton8fStandard8thTrue38.3 -0.3293.8+0.22
1 Nov 24Newcastle8fStandard8thTrue39.1 -0.2091.8+0.02
15 Oct 24Newcastle10fStandard12thSlow early39.3 -0.48108.1+0.12
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2024-10-15 to 2026-06-29. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs BANTZ (IRE) (read through LIBERTY BIRD, SWEET CICELY) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BACK FROM DUBAI (IRE) (read through MICKEY MONGOOSE, SHOWMEDEMONEY) ≈ -4.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
The top rating in this field (60.0)Improving fast — last run rated 60, 19pts above his recent average of 41.0Only 4 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.84x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“dwelt, always behind”
#2WALK ON WALK ON (IRE)MID
DRAW 7 · OR 52 · Ryan Sexton / Noel Wilson
MARKET drifting 6.6 → 8.6 · the market rates it a 12% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−
60.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Level at the head of the figures (2nd), sharp from the stalls; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
60.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 60
Official mark (OR)
52 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 11 tries
Days since last run
16
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.4s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races held-up closer
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Noel Wilson · 81 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 2.1 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)0/210.0%0.01/812.5%1.28
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company0/190.0%0.00/220.0%0.0
Over 7-8f trips0/210.0%0.00/140.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days0/220.0%0.00/120.0%0.0
In fields of 8-110/270.0%0.00/260.0%0.0
On turf0/260.0%0.01/273.7%0.57
Too few runners to read reliably
At Beverley (small sample)—0/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 62 at/around today's trip, clears the ~60.0 demand
The rider
Ryan Sexton · last 14 days: 0/10· at Beverley: A/E 1.58 (n38)· with this yard: A/E 0 (n13)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 9
-0.25 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 9
+0.03s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed8th of 9
97.6%
One-paced late
Stride length8th of 9
7.15 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 May 25 · 6f · Good — finished 10th vs 13th, 2.55L ahead
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (+2.5L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs BANTZ (IRE) (read through LOPE Y LINDA, MAYOR OF MAGHERA) ≈ -4.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ALICE'S INFLUENCE (read through HOOD WINK, TRULY SPECIAL) ≈ +2.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ITSZABOY (read through HOOD WINK, BATTENBURG BELLE, TWILIGHT DAWN, ENDURING STORY) ≈ +2.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Rated #2 in this field (60.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.58x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“in touch, shaken up 3f out, outpaced, no extra final 100 yds”
#3KING SHARJAMID
DRAW 6 · OR 55 · James Sullivan / Ruth Carr
MARKET drifting 4.5 → 5.3 · the market rates it a 19% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−
58FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
3rd on the figures, 2pts off the top, proven at the trip; the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.
FormLab Figure
58 · ranked #3 here · career best 78
Official mark (OR)
55 · last won off 56
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 28 tries · beats market expectation (1.42)
Days since last run
17
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.4s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races midfield-closer · clock read is off a superseded run
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 100.68% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 16 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ruth Carr · 1261 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)37/35310.5%1.14/2814.3%1.43
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Below their last winning mark15/14510.3%1.095/756.7%0.6
Over 7-8f trips50/45511.0%1.1810/1506.7%0.63
At Beverley12/5322.6%2.082/229.1%0.66
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦38/4638.2%0.9510/1506.7%0.68
On turf58/52111.1%1.2313/1647.9%0.77
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 78 at/around today's trip, clears the ~60.0 demand
The rider
James Sullivan · last 14 days: 1/16· at Beverley: A/E 1.07 (n88)· with this yard: A/E 1.18 (n793)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 9
-0.21 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 9
+0.11s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 9
100.7%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length6th of 9
7.19 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
3 Jul 26Beverley7fGd/Frm10th—38.9 -0.8999.0+0.41—
15 Jun 26Carlisle6fGood4thFast early39.5 +0.0595.5+0.08
Timed runs 2025-10-07 to 2026-07-03. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
24 Jun 25 · 7.4f · Gd/Frm — finished 6th vs 12th, 4.85L ahead
BACK FROM DUBAI (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 9.0L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
14 Aug 24 · 7.4f · Gd/Frm — finished 1st vs 7th, 10.5L ahead
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (+4.2L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (58)Proven over the trip (28 tries, beats market expectation at 1.42)Stable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runsLost roughly 1.8 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (3 from 10 here)
LTO comment
“held up, headway 2f out, one paced”
#4ITSZABOYMID
DRAW 4 · OR 52 · Faye McManoman / Nigel Tinkler
MARKET 40 · the market rates it a 2% chance
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
57.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
4th on the figures, 3pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.
FormLab Figure
57.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 59
Official mark (OR)
52 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 6 tries
Days since last run
17
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.7s) Usually races held-up (one-paced) · clock read is off a superseded run
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Nigel Tinkler · 922 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Beverley5/667.6%0.982/2010.0%1.86
In Class 6-7 company ✦32/27911.5%1.179/999.1%1.19
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦28/3677.6%0.885/1054.8%0.59
At this time of year (Q3)24/3008.0%0.93/358.6%0.82
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 59 is below the ~60.0 the race demands
The rider
Faye McManoman · last 14 days: 0/8· at Beverley: A/E 0.64 (n63)· with this yard: A/E 1.08 (n414)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 9
-0.00 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 9
+0.10s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 9
99.8%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 9
7.26 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Oct 25Redcar7fGd/Sft7thSlow early39.0 -0.12103.7+0.06
17 Oct 25Redcar7fGood7thTrue39.2 +0.2597.4+0.19
4 Oct 25Redcar7fGd/Sft5thSlow early39.0 -0.53107.8-0.09
Timed runs 2025-10-04 to 2026-07-03. · 1 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs ALICE'S INFLUENCE (read through HOOD WINK, HARSWELL RIVER, MERESIDE PRINCESS, WORLINGTON) ≈ -5.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs WALK ON WALK ON (IRE) (read through HOOD WINK, BATTENBURG BELLE, TWILIGHT DAWN, ENDURING STORY) ≈ -2.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Improving fast — last run rated 57, 18pts above his recent average of 38.7Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 14 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“mid-field, ridden over 2f out, one paced”
#5BACK FROM DUBAI (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 9 · OR 51 · George Wood / Roy Bowring
MARKET backed 7.6 → 6.4 · the market rates it a 16% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−
54.3FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
5th on the figures, 5.7pts off the top, in form; concedes ~1.5L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late.
FormLab Figure
54.3 · ranked #5 here · career best 66
Official mark (OR)
51 · last won off 49
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 34 tries · below market expectation (0.59)
Days since last run
36
Sectional clock
Last time: 0.8s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races prominent
Career sheet · last 18 months · 22 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Roy Bowring · 160 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 6-7 company9/6214.5%1.312/1414.3%1.33
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Beverley0/70.0%0.0—
In fields of 8-1111/8213.4%1.160/200.0%0.0
Above their last winning mark3/496.1%0.531/119.1%0.7
Coming back after 15 to 45 days6/5910.2%0.991/128.3%0.78
Over 7-8f trips1/392.6%0.291/119.1%0.81
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 66 at/around today's trip, clears the ~60.0 demand
The rider
George Wood · last 14 days: 3/28· at Beverley: A/E 0 (n9)· with this yard: A/E 3.24 (n4)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 9
-0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 9
+0.10s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 9
99.3%
One-paced late
Stride length9th of 9
6.71 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
14 Jun 26Doncaster7fGd/Sft13thTrue39.1 -0.51101.9-0.01
25 May 26Leicester7fFirm4thTrue41.6 -0.1796.7-0.10
Timed runs 2026-03-28 to 2026-06-14. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
KING SHARJA · 1 meeting≈ 9.0L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
14 Aug 24 · 7.4f · Gd/Frm — finished 7th vs 1st, 10.5L behind
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-9.0L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs AFRICAN SPIRIT (IRE) (read through MICKEY MONGOOSE, SHOWMEDEMONEY) ≈ +4.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BANTZ (IRE) (read through EY UP HE'S A STAR, MELISSA HONEY, PENNY GHENT, WOODLEIGH) ≈ -0.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ALICE'S INFLUENCE (read through FIFTY SENT, SHARK TWO ONE, HOSTELRY) ≈ -0.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 4 here)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“mid-division, lost place over 3f out”
#6ALICE'S INFLUENCEFRONT
DRAW 3 · OR 51 · P. J. McDonald / David Evans
MARKET 4.8 · the market rates it a 21% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
45.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
6th on the figures, 15pts off the top, the quickest away of the early types; rated well above the mark it last won from.
FormLab Figure
45.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 57
Official mark (OR)
51 · last won off 46
Record at today's distance
1 win from 9 tries · in line with the market (0.96)
Days since last run
17
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class Usually races front-runner
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
David Evans · 893 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days35/33010.6%0.989/7711.7%1.23
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company ✦29/23412.4%0.93/585.2%0.4
At this time of year (Q3)19/2069.2%0.922/258.0%0.54
Over 7-8f trips ✦26/26010.0%0.934/606.7%0.59
Too few runners to read reliably
At Beverley (small sample)1/520.0%2.410/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 59 is below the ~60.0 the race demands
The rider
P. J. McDonald · last 14 days: 5/21· at Beverley: A/E 0.92 (n74)· with this yard: A/E 1.52 (n20)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 9
+0.00 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 9
+0.03s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 9
99.5%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 9
7.59 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-26 to 2026-07-03. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs BANTZ (IRE) (read through ELETTARIA, HOSTELRY, NAKATOMI, FAR AHEAD) ≈ +5.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ITSZABOY (read through HOOD WINK, HARSWELL RIVER, MERESIDE PRINCESS, WORLINGTON) ≈ +5.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs WALK ON WALK ON (IRE) (read through HOOD WINK, TRULY SPECIAL) ≈ -2.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BACK FROM DUBAI (IRE) (read through FIFTY SENT, SHARK TWO ONE, HOSTELRY) ≈ +0.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
5lb above his last winning mark (51 today vs 46)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led, headed over 3f out, weakened from 2f out”
#7ICE SHOWHELD-UP
DRAW 2 · OR 55 · Rowan Scott / David O'Meara
MARKET drifting 19.5 → 23 · the market rates it a 4% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−
43FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
7th on the figures, 17pts off the top, dropping in class; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
43 · ranked #7 here · career best 52
Official mark (OR)
55 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
22
Sectional clock
Last time: 2.1s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 102.63% (holds late)
Headgear
First-time hood · yard 14% with first-time gear (A/E 1.36)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
David O'Meara · 2019 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 6-7 company15/1529.9%0.699/5516.4%1.59
At Beverley2/543.7%0.274/2218.2%1.58
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)90/65213.8%1.046/679.0%0.71
Over 7-8f trips90/72812.4%1.0215/2027.4%0.76
Coming back after 15 to 45 days107/79313.5%1.1118/2218.1%0.76
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 52 is below the ~60.0 the race demands
The rider
Rowan Scott · last 14 days: 3/15· at Beverley: A/E 1.04 (n97)· with this yard: A/E 85 (n1)
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 9
-0.15 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph9th of 9
+0.35s
Slow away in 2 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed1st of 9
102.6%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length7th of 9
7.17 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
28 Jun 26Wolverhampton9fStd10thSlow early38.3 -1.20105.3+0.19
5 Jun 26Thirsk7fGd/Sft6thTrue38.9 +0.53103.3+0.39
27 May 26Hamilton Park9fGd/Frm5thTrue39.7 +0.03101.7+0.30
Timed runs 2026-04-20 to 2026-06-28. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Drops in class todayOnly 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 4 wins from 20 runs
LTO comment
“dwelt, rear, ridden early in straight, some late headway”
#8BANTZ (IRE)MID
DRAW 5 · OR 48 · Barry McHugh / Alan Brown
MARKET backed 21 → 18 · the market rates it a 6% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−
41.7FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
8th on the figures, 18.3pts off the top, backed since the morning; a yard out of form.
FormLab Figure
41.7 · ranked #8 here · career best 67
Official mark (OR)
48 · last won off 59
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 23 tries · beats market expectation (1.07)
Days since last run
7
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.3s) · among the slowest in its race Usually races midfield and fades
Career sheet · last 18 months · 19 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Alan Brown · 387 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-1117/16810.1%1.055/637.9%1.22
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Beverley3/2114.3%2.40/100.0%0.0
Below their last winning mark3/1520.0%2.210/130.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)6/837.2%0.990/110.0%0.0
On turf10/1089.3%1.293/605.0%0.71
In Class 6-7 company8/1395.8%0.662/513.9%0.72
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)2/2010.0%0.670/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 67 at/around today's trip, clears the ~60.0 demand
The rider
Barry McHugh · last 14 days: 1/17· at Beverley: A/E 1.69 (n29)· with this yard: A/E 2.53 (n39)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields9th of 9
-0.33 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph8th of 9
+0.21s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed9th of 9
95.9%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 9
7.55 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
13 Jul 26Ayr7fGd/Frm7thTrue41.5 -0.40102.8+0.25
16 Jun 26Beverley7fGood9thFast early39.7 -0.4194.0+0.53
25 May 26Redcar7fGd/Frm7thTrue41.1 -0.2599.7+0.00
4 May 26Beverley8fGd/Sft14thTrue38.9 -0.8190.2+0.00
20 Oct 25Wolverhampton7fSlow10thTrue39.9 -0.2193.8+0.23
Timed runs 2025-09-26 to 2026-07-13. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
KING SHARJA · 1 meeting≈ 0.7L ahead on today's terms · confirms
24 Jun 25 · 7.4f · Gd/Frm — finished 12th vs 6th, 4.85L behind
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — confirms vs 1 rival(s) met (+0.7L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs AFRICAN SPIRIT (IRE) (read through LIBERTY BIRD, SWEET CICELY) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ALICE'S INFLUENCE (read through ELETTARIA, HOSTELRY, NAKATOMI, FAR AHEAD) ≈ -5.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs WALK ON WALK ON (IRE) (read through LOPE Y LINDA, MAYOR OF MAGHERA) ≈ +4.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs BACK FROM DUBAI (IRE) (read through EY UP HE'S A STAR, MELISSA HONEY, PENNY GHENT, WOODLEIGH) ≈ +0.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
11lb below his last winning mark (48 today vs 59)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayJockey goes well at this track (1.69x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRace-fit — ran 7 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“prominent, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out”
#9RYEFIELDMID
DRAW 8 · OR 54 · Alistair Rawlinson / Lawrence Mullaney
MARKET 80 · the market rates it a 1% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
41.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
9th on the figures, 19pts off the top, a double-figure price; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
41.0 · ranked #9 here · career best 62
Official mark (OR)
54 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 5 tries
Days since last run
46
Sectional clock
Last time: 2.6s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race Usually races held-up (one-paced)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Lawrence Mullaney · 108 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf1/224.5%0.472/1612.5%1.53
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)1/214.8%0.680/50.0%0.0
In Class 6-7 company4/439.3%0.842/395.1%0.57
Over 7-8f trips4/468.7%0.872/316.5%0.72
In fields of 8-115/4710.6%1.22/336.1%0.74
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)0/50.0%0.01/250.0%4.48
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 62 at/around today's trip, clears the ~60.0 demand
The rider
Alistair Rawlinson · last 14 days: 0/8· at Beverley: A/E 1.16 (n37)· with this yard: A/E 0 (n1)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 9
-0.24 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 9
+0.14s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 9
97.7%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 9
7.32 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
4 Jun 26Wetherby5fGd/Frm8thFast early41.9 -0.91103.4+0.19
19 May 26Newcastle5fStd8thTrue41.5 +0.35101.4+0.25
7 Nov 25Newcastle6fSlow5thTrue40.2 +0.3599.9+0.06
23 Oct 25Nottingham6fHeavy9thFast early37.7 -0.1988.7+0.09
6 Oct 25Pontefract6fSoft10thTrue37.3 -0.4689.2+0.23
12 Jun 25Nottingham5fGd/Frm8thSlow early40.7 -0.55103.4+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-06-12 to 2026-06-04. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
WALK ON WALK ON (IRE) · 1 meeting≈ 2.5L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
27 May 25 · 6f · Good — finished 13th vs 10th, 2.55L behind
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-2.5L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Only 5 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“handy, under pressure 3f out, weakening when wandered 2f out”