THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 30.7%winner in the projected 1–2–3 64.8%176 races · latest settled day: #1 2/7, top-3 6/7forensic read: #1 29.1% · top-3 61.2% (103)full record →
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners here spend about 49% of their energy before the final two furlongs and quicken late. On the measured reads, INSPIRING SPEECHES (IRE) leads on 55.3, 2.3pts clear of DEFENCE MISSILE (IRE) — the quickest away of the early types. Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. The market sees it differently, making COPPER AND FIVE the 41% favourite — a horse our figures rate 4th.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
INSPIRING SPEECHES (IRE)
OR · T. Kiely-Marshall / Sara Ender
MARKET backed 3.45 → 3.05 · the market rates it a 32% chance
55.3FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (55.3)A course winner (1 from 6 here)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
DEFENCE MISSILE (IRE)
OR · Finlay Bassett / Linda Perratt
MARKET 46 · the market rates it a 2% chance
53.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−Rated #2 in this field (53.0)Race-fit — ran 9 days ago
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 6
ROYAL SIZZLER
OR · Cieren Fallon / Michael Dods
MARKET drifting 7.6 → 10 · the market rates it a 10% chance
50.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−Rated #3 in this field (50.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.84x market expectation)
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1INSPIRING SPEECHES (IRE)net +9figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, quickest early type, sharp from the stalls, runs the dominant winning style here
2COPPER AND FIVEnet +4race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, energy in the winning band, yard positive in today’s setup
3ELETTARIA (IRE)net +3race-fit (ran <=45d), top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band, FormLab watch flag − habitually slow away
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK
Little to argue against on the measured reads — the only question is the price. COPPER AND FIVE is the one to beat it — an edge INSPIRING SPEECHES (IRE) lacks: a yard that scores in today’s conditions.
Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
Where the pace is drawn · 7 runners · stalls 1–7
1234567
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–7).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: INSPIRING SPEECHES (IRE) is 1/9 on softer ground · DEFENCE MISSILE (IRE) is 0/3 on softer ground · ROYAL SIZZLER is 0/2 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
COPPER AND FIVEPROMINENT49.4%98.8just behind the quickest early pair — presses, at the tempo that wins here — but holds one pace late
DEFENCE MISSILE (IRE)HELD-UP50.2%99.7the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
ELETTARIA (IRE)HELD-UP49.8%99.6the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
INSPIRING SPEECHES (IRE)PROMINENT50.2%101.9the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — and holds on late · sharp from the stalls
MAVETHEFORCEBEWIVUMID49.7%97.5held up without the late gear (5th of 7 on late speed), races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
RING OF GOLDHELD-UP50.7%97.5held up without the late gear (6th of 7 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
ROYAL SIZZLERMID52.0%94.6held up without the late gear (7th of 7 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
INSPIRING SPEECHES (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
COPPER AND FIVEPROMINENTtypically ~1.1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.15s off the field’s best
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1INSPIRING SPEECHES (IRE)PROMINENTFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 1 · OR · 9-9 · −5lb claim = 9-4 carried · T. Kiely-Marshall / Sara Ender
MARKET backed 3.45 → 3.05 · the market rates it a 32% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
55.3FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Top on the figures, 2.3pts clear of the next, the quickest away of the early types; the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — and holds on late, sharp from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
55.3 · ranked #1 here · career best 64
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 50
Record at today's distance
1 win from 10 tries · below market expectation (0.6)
Days since last run
24
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 101.88% (holds late)
Headgear
Cheekpieces
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Sara Ender · 100 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 10.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=72/1118.2%1.11/616.7%2.06
Coming back after 15 to 45 days1/352.9%0.311/119.1%1.21
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company5/4610.9%1.210/150.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)2/229.1%0.891/1100.0%4.3
At Beverley (small sample)1/137.7%0.740/20.0%0.0
Over 7-8f trips (small sample)0/170.0%0.00/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 64 at/around today's trip, clears the ~53.0 demand
The rider
T. Kiely-Marshall · last 14 days: 0/11· at Beverley: A/E 0.98 (n36)· with this yard: A/E 1.24 (n13)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 7
+0.16 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 7
+0.03s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 7
101.9%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length6th of 7
6.91 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 Jun 26Newcastle10fSlow4thTrue39.0 +0.23109.0—
16 Jun 26Beverley9fGood3rdTrue39.4 +0.6298.5+0.59
11 May 26Catterick Bridge12fGood5thTrue38.3 +0.09102.3-0.17
Timed runs 2025-07-15 to 2026-06-26. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs MAVETHEFORCEBEWIVU (read through SWEET CICELY, SASSY GLORY, DR RIO, KITSUNE POWER) ≈ +5.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs RING OF GOLD (read through DARING LEADER, QUIRKE ON PAROLE, ARRANMORE, BALQAA) ≈ +4.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ELETTARIA (IRE) (read through DARING LEADER, MAPLE, RAJAWAIL) ≈ +4.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs COPPER AND FIVE (read through PISANELLO, RAJAWAIL, DANDY'S ANGEL, MAPLE) ≈ -1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (55.3)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 6 here)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up, ridden 2f out, one paced”
#2DEFENCE MISSILE (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 2 · OR · 9-9 · −7lb claim = 9-2 carried · Finlay Bassett / Linda Perratt
MARKET 46 · the market rates it a 2% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
53.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
2nd on the figures, 2.3pts off the top, one of the two strongest finishers here; a yard out of form.
FormLab Figure
53.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 79
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 11 tries
Days since last run
9
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 99.68% (one-paced late)
Headgear
Cheekpieces
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Linda Perratt · 599 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=74/924.3%0.553/2213.6%1.89
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)9/1565.8%0.940/170.0%0.0
On turf10/2414.1%0.761/502.0%0.39
Coming back after 8 to 14 days5/1144.4%0.541/313.2%0.42
In Class 6-7 company19/2717.0%0.92/702.9%0.52
Too few runners to read reliably
At Beverley (small sample)0/10.0%0.0—
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 79 at/around today's trip, clears the ~53.0 demand
The rider
Finlay Bassett · last 14 days: 0/6· with this yard: A/E 0 (n3)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 7
-0.15 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 7
+0.34s
Slow away in 4 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed2nd of 7
99.7%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 7
7.14 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.23slow2f+0.20very slow3f+0.19slow4f+0.21slow5f+0.20par6f+0.26fast7f+0.31very fast1m+0.56very fast
Timed runs 2025-06-21 to 2026-07-11. · 3 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
Read through a common rival
vs MAVETHEFORCEBEWIVU (read through HOSTELRY, MONHAMMER) ≈ -3.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs COPPER AND FIVE (read through HOSTELRY, MONHAMMER) ≈ -1.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs ELETTARIA (IRE) (read through HOSTELRY, MECCA'S SYMPHONY) ≈ +0.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Rated #2 in this field (53.0)Race-fit — ran 9 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“slowly away, always behind”
#3ROYAL SIZZLERMID
DRAW 6 · OR · Cieren Fallon / Michael Dods
MARKET drifting 7.6 → 10 · the market rates it a 10% chance
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
50.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
3rd on the figures, 5.3pts off the top, prominent in the betting; tends to burn early and empty out.
Career sheet · last 18 months · 3 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Dods · 1246 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 7-8f trips35/3579.8%0.9913/8914.6%1.59
Coming back after 15 to 45 days47/5089.3%0.9117/14112.1%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=728/14918.8%1.134/478.5%0.63
In Class 6-7 company ✦29/28010.4%0.886/797.6%0.69
Too few runners to read reliably
At Beverley (small sample)4/636.3%0.732/1118.2%1.45
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 51 is below the ~53.0 the race demands
The rider
Cieren Fallon · last 14 days: 5/35· at Beverley: A/E 1.84 (n29)· with this yard: A/E 0 (n7)
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 7
-0.16 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 7
+0.13s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 7
94.6%
One-paced late
Stride length7th of 7
6.64 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
23 Jun 26Beverley9fGd/Frm4thTrue38.7 +0.4696.3+0.00
18 May 26Carlisle6fSoft10thFast early36.1 -0.5587.2+0.00
27 Nov 25Newcastle8fSlow11thTrue38.3 -0.0094.6+0.30
27 Oct 25Redcar9fGd/Sft5th—37.4 -0.56100.3+0.21
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-10-27 to 2026-06-23. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #3 in this field (50.0)Only 3 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.84x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question
LTO comment
“handy, ridden 3f out, faded from 2f out”
#4COPPER AND FIVEPROMINENT
DRAW 7 · OR · Joanna Mason / Ruth Carr
MARKET 2.42 · the market rates it a 41% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
48.7FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
4th on the figures, 6.6pts off the top, a yard that scores in today’s conditions; just behind the quickest early pair — presses, at the tempo that wins here — but holds one pace late.
FormLab Figure
48.7 · ranked #4 here · career best 78
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 55
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 29 tries · below market expectation (0.94)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ruth Carr · 1261 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)37/35310.5%1.14/2814.3%1.43
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips50/45511.0%1.1810/1506.7%0.63
At Beverley12/5322.6%2.082/229.1%0.66
In fields of <=719/12615.1%1.044/3810.5%0.75
On turf58/52111.1%1.2313/1647.9%0.77
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)16/6624.2%1.663/1816.7%0.86
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 78 at/around today's trip, clears the ~53.0 demand
The rider
Joanna Mason · last 14 days: 5/34· at Beverley: A/E 1.19 (n137)· with this yard: A/E 1.27 (n184)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 7
-0.40 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 7
+0.15s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 7
98.8%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 7
7.29 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
16 Jul 26Thirsk7fGd/Frm8thTrue38.6 -1.2199.9+0.08
16 Jun 26Beverley8fGood6thTrue38.1 -0.1697.7+0.11
30 May 26Beverley8fGd/Frm4thTrue37.7 -0.4799.5+0.78
4 May 26Beverley8fGd/Sft2ndTrue40.0 +0.3294.1-0.07
Timed runs 2026-04-10 to 2026-07-16. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
RING OF GOLD · 1 meeting≈ 11.3L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
16 Jun 26 · 8.5f · Good — finished 6th vs 2nd, 2.85L behind
Read through a common rival
vs INSPIRING SPEECHES (IRE) (read through PISANELLO, RAJAWAIL, DANDY'S ANGEL, MAPLE) ≈ +1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs DEFENCE MISSILE (IRE) (read through HOSTELRY, MONHAMMER) ≈ +1.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayStable in form this week — 2 wins from 10 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRace-fit — ran 4 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 6 here)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“held up, ridden and headway over 1f out, plugged on”
#5ELETTARIA (IRE)HELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 5 · OR · Cam Hardie / John Wainwright
MARKET 12 · the market rates it a 8% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
45.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
5th on the figures, 10.3pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
45.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 58
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 46
Record at today's distance
1 win from 33 tries · below market expectation (0.41)
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 99.56% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 21 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
John Wainwright · 178 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days3/624.8%0.883/1618.8%3.45
At Beverley1/333.0%0.531/714.3%2.16
In Class 6-7 company3/773.9%0.663/2910.3%2.15
On turf4/1113.6%0.613/2512.0%1.61
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips3/605.0%0.740/150.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)4/646.2%0.821/333.3%2.98
In fields of <=7 (small sample)3/2512.0%1.710/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 58 at/around today's trip, clears the ~53.0 demand
The rider
Cam Hardie · last 14 days: 3/24· at Beverley: A/E 0.94 (n141)· with this yard: A/E 1.88 (n23)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 7
+0.22 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 38.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 7
+0.76s
Slow away in 6 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed3rd of 7
99.6%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 7
7.25 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
29 Jun 26Pontefract8fGood4th—37.5 +0.4098.0+0.86—
16 Jun 26Beverley7fGood3rdFast early40.5 +0.4394.8+0.71
30 May 26Beverley8fGd/Frm7thTrue38.3 +0.1499.5+1.00
26 Mar 26Southwell8fStd5thTrue38.2 +0.37104.7+0.55
Timed runs 2026-03-26 to 2026-06-29. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
13 Aug 25 · 7.4f · Gd/Frm — finished 4th vs 5th, 0.5L ahead
RING OF GOLD · 1 meeting≈ 0.2L behind on today's terms · line-ball
10 Mar 26 · 7.1f · Std — finished 6th vs 5th, 0.2L behind
COPPER AND FIVE · 1 meeting≈ 3.8L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
30 May 26 · 8.5f · Gd/Frm — finished 7th vs 4th, 3.75L behind
Read through a common rival
vs INSPIRING SPEECHES (IRE) (read through DARING LEADER, MAPLE, RAJAWAIL) ≈ -4.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs DEFENCE MISSILE (IRE) (read through HOSTELRY, MECCA'S SYMPHONY) ≈ -0.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“held up, headway when short of room over 1f out, stayed on final 1f, took third late on”
#6MAVETHEFORCEBEWIVUMID
DRAW 3 · OR · Barry McHugh / Alan Brown
MARKET backed 34 → 21 · the market rates it a 5% chance
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 5−
41.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
6th on the figures, 14.3pts off the top, backed since the morning; a yard out of form.
Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Alan Brown · 387 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Beverley3/2114.3%2.40/100.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)6/837.2%0.990/110.0%0.0
In fields of <=74/3810.5%0.750/160.0%0.0
On turf10/1089.3%1.293/605.0%0.71
In Class 6-7 company8/1395.8%0.662/513.9%0.72
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)2/2010.0%0.670/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 52 is below the ~53.0 the race demands
The rider
Barry McHugh · last 14 days: 1/17· at Beverley: A/E 1.69 (n29)· with this yard: A/E 2.53 (n39)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 7
-0.10 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 7
+0.09s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 7
97.5%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 7
7.03 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.63very slow2f+0.77very slow3f+0.78very slow4f+0.86very slow5f+0.84slow6f+0.85slow7f+0.72par1m+0.59very fast1m 1f+0.74very fast1m 2f+1.15very fast
Timed runs 2026-04-11 to 2026-07-14. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
COPPER AND FIVE · 1 meeting≈ 2.9L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
16 Jun 26 · 8.5f · Good — finished 2nd vs 6th, 2.85L ahead
THIN [single meeting dominates the net] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 3 rival(s) met (-3.6L adj, 4 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs INSPIRING SPEECHES (IRE) (read through SWEET CICELY, SASSY GLORY, DR RIO, KITSUNE POWER) ≈ -5.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
vs DEFENCE MISSILE (IRE) (read through HOSTELRY, MONHAMMER) ≈ +3.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Jockey goes well at this track (1.69x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 6 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“always behind”
#7RING OF GOLDHELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 4 · OR · Billy Garritty / Michael & David Easterby
MARKET drifting 28 → 50 · the market rates it a 2% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
19.3FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
7th on the figures, 36pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
19.3 · ranked #7 here · career best 78
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 51
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 35 tries · below market expectation (0.41)
Days since last run
30
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 97.45% (one-paced late)
Headgear
Visor · yard 7% with first-time gear (A/E 0.87)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 20 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael & David Easterby · 1234 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.9 on the exchange
Signature angle: keeping the same jockey
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days46/5168.9%0.8417/14411.8%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=7 ✦17/15910.7%0.684/508.0%0.7
At Beverley10/8112.3%1.072/258.0%0.76
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 78 at/around today's trip, clears the ~53.0 demand
The rider
Billy Garritty · last 14 days: 1/16· at Beverley: A/E 0.92 (n66)· with this yard: A/E 0.91 (n452)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 7
+0.32 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 7
+0.51s
Slow away in 5 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed6th of 7
97.5%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 7
7.55 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
20 Jun 26Ayr7fSoft7thFast early38.8 -0.01102.6+0.92
27 May 26Beverley8fGd/Frm7thTrue38.6 +0.6795.2+0.62
Timed runs 2026-02-24 to 2026-06-20. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has met
COPPER AND FIVE · 1 meeting≈ 11.3L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
THIN [single meeting dominates the net] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 3 rival(s) met (+9.5L adj, 3 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs INSPIRING SPEECHES (IRE) (read through DARING LEADER, QUIRKE ON PAROLE, ARRANMORE, BALQAA) ≈ -4.6L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“dwelt, off pace, pushed along over 2f out, little impression”